This could be
your portfolio.
But retail trading is broken.
The fix?Do what hedge funds do.For yourself.
A hedge fund in your pocket
Introducing the first Hedge Fund as a Service. It's a system that tells you exactly how to run an evidence-based portfolio that beats the market.
- A simple dashboard that tells you exactly what to do
- Monitors your portfolio and alerts you when needed
- 1-on-1 support from a team of expert traders
We handle the research, the math, and the system design. Your job is to place the trades.
Start running this portfolio
Performance vs The Market
Same capital, same time period. The portfolio produced 2x the wealth* with smaller drawdowns.
Portfolio vs SPY Metrics*
Long-term performance summary
| Metric | PA Strategy | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| Initial equity | $100,000 | $100,000 |
| Final equity | $1,215,306.55 | $682,137.43 |
| Total return | 1,115.31% | 582.14% |
| CAGR | 18.40% | 13.87% |
| Vol (ann.) | 15.13% | 17.28% |
| Sharpe | 1.22 | 0.86 |
| Max drawdown | -20.10% | -33.76% |
Portfolio vs SPY Performance
Growth of $100,000 · Jan 2011–Oct 2025
Beat the S&P500 in 9 out of last 15 years* (60% of years)
Based on historical simulations
The full research is made public.
Every rule, test, assumption, and cost that makes this portfolio work is documented for you.
View the full researchWhat strategies are inside the portfolio?
The portfolio runs two systems that together capture multiple sources of return.
1. The “ETF” Strategy
A diversified multi-asset portfolio designed to capture long-term market returns across stocks, bonds, gold, commodities, and currencies.
- Buy shares in 5 ETFs and adjust when the system alerts you
- Inspired by ideas from Ray Dalio and Rob Carver
- ~5 minutes per week to manage
2. The “VIX” Strategy
A strategy generating returns from the VIX roll yield and volatility risk premium.
- Short VXX with controlled size, sometimes flip long (this is the hedge!)
- Can perform in both calm and stressed markets
- ~10 minutes per week to manage
Get the results you wantedwhen you first started trading
How it works
1. Set up the portfolio
Tell the system how much capital you have and it returns the exact trades to place. No spreadsheets, no guesswork.
Bonus: Free 1-on-1 setup call with the team.
2. Get alerts when it's time to trade
Email and text notifications tell you the moment a trade is required. You never have to watch the market.
3. Follow step-by-step prompts
The tool specifies the exact trades. You place them in your own brokerage and you're done for the week.
That's it. You're now running a professional grade portfolio.
Get started for free
Is this right for you?
This portfolio rewards patience and a system, not adrenaline. Here's how to tell if it fits the way you invest.
This is a good fit if…
- A minimum of $20,000 (most start with more)
- A margin account with permission to short ETFs
- A time horizon of at least one year
- You prefer boring strategies that work over chasing trades
It's not a good fit if…
- You want to pick every trade yourself
- You need daily trading excitement
- You jump between strategies during slow periods
- You're seeking quick wins over long-term compounding
Hear directly from traders
From people who have seen life changing results as a member**
“Awesome platform. Amazed how it continues to improve, too. … The educational videos helped me level up rather quickly. … the discord alone is worth the cost. Smart, inquisitive people there with appreciation for and understanding of nuance.”
“Predicting Alpha allows you to treat your trading like a business, without emotion, with quantified risk. It also allows you to understand where your potential edge might come from.”
“…the Predicting Alpha terminal is one of the best places to find a vol edge. The community is also filled with a ton of smart people you can learn a lot from.”
“PA provides people with abundant resources for education on quantitative trading and actually trading with edge. … If this was a quant team, PA covers the role of quant research +developer and you can focus on your trading.”
“Good place to learn and improve options trading skills.”
“This is a fantastic data platform, education, and community… The education is top notch for anyone from beginner to advanced, and really focuses on the right aspects of how to think about trading. … These guys are the real deal!”
“The PA terminal has been the game changer in my … trading journey, because it has everything to win in the Market. All features in the PA Terminal are there for you if you want to be a Positive Expected Value trader, like no other platform can provide.”
“Awesome platform. Amazed how it continues to improve, too. … The educational videos helped me level up rather quickly. … the discord alone is worth the cost. Smart, inquisitive people there with appreciation for and understanding of nuance.”
“Predicting Alpha allows you to treat your trading like a business, without emotion, with quantified risk. It also allows you to understand where your potential edge might come from.”
“…the Predicting Alpha terminal is one of the best places to find a vol edge. The community is also filled with a ton of smart people you can learn a lot from.”
“PA provides people with abundant resources for education on quantitative trading and actually trading with edge. … If this was a quant team, PA covers the role of quant research +developer and you can focus on your trading.”
“Good place to learn and improve options trading skills.”
“This is a fantastic data platform, education, and community… The education is top notch for anyone from beginner to advanced, and really focuses on the right aspects of how to think about trading. … These guys are the real deal!”
“The PA terminal has been the game changer in my … trading journey, because it has everything to win in the Market. All features in the PA Terminal are there for you if you want to be a Positive Expected Value trader, like no other platform can provide.”
“If you want to save time analyzing data, this is the place to be. Why bother with an excel sheet when you can have instant access right here. … Very easy to use. Clean user interface. I am very satisfied with the PA Terminal.”
“…Sean and the team are constantly improving and updating the platform. It just keeps getting better! … there is a community of members to talk with, bounce trade ideas off of, and get live feedback on your methodology. Can't recommend Predicting Alpha enough for those who are done yoloing and want to learn how to actually trade.”
“…empowering traders to make informed, data-driven trades. Whether you're … just starting out like I was, the Predicting Alpha Terminal offers all the information you could ever need to help you implement sound strategies and achieve your trading goals.”
“I am very satisfied with the PA Terminal. It gives me access to data, only industry professionals have access to. If you want a shot at making any significant money as a retail trader, this is your community.”
“Predicting Alpha is undoubtedly one of the best resources a person can use to delve into the trading world. … Sean is very hands-on and he tries his best to dumb down complicated subject so others can learn. … Predicting Alpha has paved the way on what retail trader needs to do in order to come out on top.”
“…in trading, as well as anything in life, there is a gap that exists between where you are, and where you are trying to get to, and I love Predicting Alpha because it bridges that gap.”
“Predicting Alpha is a great place for advanced traders, beginners, and anyone in between trying to get into becoming a more serious trader and improve their knowledge every day!”
“If you want to save time analyzing data, this is the place to be. Why bother with an excel sheet when you can have instant access right here. … Very easy to use. Clean user interface. I am very satisfied with the PA Terminal.”
“…Sean and the team are constantly improving and updating the platform. It just keeps getting better! … there is a community of members to talk with, bounce trade ideas off of, and get live feedback on your methodology. Can't recommend Predicting Alpha enough for those who are done yoloing and want to learn how to actually trade.”
“…empowering traders to make informed, data-driven trades. Whether you're … just starting out like I was, the Predicting Alpha Terminal offers all the information you could ever need to help you implement sound strategies and achieve your trading goals.”
“I am very satisfied with the PA Terminal. It gives me access to data, only industry professionals have access to. If you want a shot at making any significant money as a retail trader, this is your community.”
“Predicting Alpha is undoubtedly one of the best resources a person can use to delve into the trading world. … Sean is very hands-on and he tries his best to dumb down complicated subject so others can learn. … Predicting Alpha has paved the way on what retail trader needs to do in order to come out on top.”
“…in trading, as well as anything in life, there is a gap that exists between where you are, and where you are trying to get to, and I love Predicting Alpha because it bridges that gap.”
“Predicting Alpha is a great place for advanced traders, beginners, and anyone in between trying to get into becoming a more serious trader and improve their knowledge every day!”
You’ve seen the portfolio.The research.The results.
Now you just have to decide if you want to run it.
Quarterly Plan
For people who want to experience the system before committing long term.
then $99 / per month
Pay as you go, quarter by quarter
No charge today · cancel anytime
Includes:
- Full ETF + VIX portfolio system
- Weekly Investor Letters from our team
- Email alerts when portfolio adjustments occur
- Strategy research & education
- Live support from our team
- Free 1-on-1 set up call (live support)
Annual Plan
For investors running this as their core portfolio.
then $79 / per month
Save $240 / year — 20% off
No charge today · cancel anytime
- Save $240 / year compared to quarterly
- Locked annual rate
Everything in Quarterly:
- Full ETF + VIX portfolio system
- Weekly Investor Letters from our team
- Email alerts when portfolio adjustments occur
- Strategy research & education
- Live support from our team
- Free 1-on-1 set up call (live support)
Frequently Asked Questions
Predicting Alpha is built for investors who want a clear, repeatable process, not constant decisions or speculation.
It’s likely a good fit if:
- You prefer rules and evidence over predictions or gut feel
- You want to run a portfolio you can stick with through different market conditions
- You’re looking for something time-efficient, not a second job
- You want transparency around how and why the strategies work
It’s probably not a good fit if you enjoy frequent trading, experimenting with new strategies every week, or trying to react to short-term market moves.
If you want a disciplined system that tells you what to do and when, Predicting Alpha was built for that.
*Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor. See full Risk Disclosure before making any investment decision.
**Testimonials reflect individual experiences and may not be representative of all users. Results are not typical and are not a guarantee of future performance.